Global Power Plays

America’s North Korea strategy needs a dose of reality

Each year on July 27, North Korea commemorates “Victory Day”, marking what it presents as its triumph in the Korean war.

Why this matters: While few outside the country accept that characterisation, the date underscores a reality: the war never formally ended.

What happened

An opinion piece argues U.S. policy on North Korea is stuck in old ideas. For years Washington has said North Korea must give up its nukes first. But Pyongyang now has more advanced weapons and closer ties with Russia and China.

The armistice that paused the Korean War in 1953 never turned into a peace deal. That makes any fix harder. The author says the U.S. attitude no longer matches the reality on the ground.

Who wins here

Right now, North Korea gains room to act. Better weapons make its threats more real. Tighter ties with Russia and warmer ties with China help its economy and military.

The U.S. keeps symbolic power through sanctions and alliances. But those tools work less well if the adversary finds other partners and survives sanctions.

How the play works

The U.S. uses a denuclearisation-first rule to try to force concessions. That looks like: sanctions, pressure, and conditioning talks on disarmament. The paper argues this gives Pyongyang little reason to bargain.

North Korea counters by expanding its weapons and courting partners. That weakens the U.S. bargaining position. Over time, the balance of options shifts away from Washington.

Why it matters

This is not just talk among diplomats. It affects missile tests, troop posture in South Korea, and defense budgets. For people nearby, it raises the risk of miscalculation or escalation.

Tensions can also reshape trade, refugee flows, and regional stability. When big powers shift alliances, ordinary people feel the costs through higher prices or security worries.

What to watch next

Look for three things. One: any change in U.S. negotiating terms or a move toward phased deals. Two: new military or arms links between North Korea and Russia. Three: Seoul’s policy shifts after its recent political changes.

These steps will show whether the deadlock grows or opens a path to talks.

LensGlobal Power Plays
TypeReporting
PublishedJuly 26, 2026
Read time3 min read
SourceSouth China Morning Post – China
Where the facts come from

The facts in this story were first reported by South China Morning Post – China. What you're reading here is our take on what it means for power and for you.

Read the original at South China Morning Post – China
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